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Post-tropical Cyclone LEE Advisory Number 21
 
Issued 21:00Z Sep 06, 2011
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  34   33   32   31   30   29   28   27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   

 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2011

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 85.6W
ABOUT 115 MILES...180 KM...NW OF ATLANTA  GEORGIA.
ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...WSW OF KNOXVILLE, TENNESSEE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NORTHEASTWARDS TO CENTRAL NEW YORK.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST. LEE IS NOW A POST
TROPICAL CYCLONE WHICH HAS BEEN ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. A WELL DEFINED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW CENTER THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARDS ALONG THE APPALACHIANS TUESDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE
LOW CENTER. AS THIS MOISTURE CROSSES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IT WILL
BE LIFTED...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHEAST U.S. THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THESE
LOCATIONS. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5 PM EDT 

...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW             11.74                      
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    11.32                      
MOBILE                              10.92                      
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                10.50                      
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                       10.39                      
SPRINGVILLE 5.3 WNW                 10.36                      
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                    10.31                      
ENSLEY                               9.54                      
GUNTERSVILLE                         8.95                      
ALBERTVILLE 4.8 WNW                  8.94                      
BIRMINGHAM                           8.13                      
PINSON                               7.94                      
TUSCALOOSA 5 NE                      7.70                      
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.55                      
GADSDEN                              7.18                      
MUSCLE SHOALS                        6.04                      
HUNTSVILLE/MADISON CO ARPT           5.52                      

...WASHINGTON DC...
NATIONAL AIRPORT                     2.03                      

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03                      
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35                      
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57                      
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35                      
DESTIN ARPT                          6.29                      
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10                      
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06                      
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02                      
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93                      
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  5.81                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.71                      
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.49                      
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30                      

...GEORGIA...
LA FAYETTE 2.9 NE                   10.00                      
RINGGOLD 5 W                         8.95                      
LAFAYETTE 5 SW                       8.71                      
TRENTON 5.8 S                        8.55                      
NAOMI 2 E                            7.88                      
NEW ENGLAND 2 SE                     7.84                      
LYERLY 4.8 SSE                       7.65                      
CURRYVILLE 3 W                       6.81                      
ROME/RUSSELL FIELD                   6.00                      
CARTERSVILLE AIRPORT                 2.93                      
FORT BENNING                         2.03                      

...KENTUCKY...
CRANKS CREEK RESERVOIR               5.49                      
CUMBERLAND                           4.75                      
WHITESBURG                           4.00                      
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW                    3.67                      
BOWLING GREEN                        3.24                      
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10                      
LEXINTGON/BLUE GRASS FIELD           2.74                      
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW                   2.65                      
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34                      
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14                      
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00                      

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43                      
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32                      
MAUREPAS                            13.63                      
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22                      
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04                      
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43                      
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15                      
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21                      
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 11.00                      
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91                      
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E                  10.59                      
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10                      
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04                      
BOOTHVILLE                           8.83                      
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT           8.20                      

...MARYLAND...
HAVRE DE GRACE 4 WNW                 3.04                      
HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT                 2.42                      
CHURCHTON                            2.41                      
DAMASCUS                             2.20                      
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             2.00                      

...MAINE...
GREENVILLE 2 E                       2.73                      
MILLINOCKET MUNI ARPT                2.63                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     14.11                      
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45                      
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75                      
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71                      
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59                      
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31                      
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25                      
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18                      
JACKSON                             11.15                      
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     11.14                      
JACKSON WFO                         11.13                      
PASCAGOULA                          10.95                      
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90                      

...NORTH CAROLINA...
BLOWING ROCK 2.8 ENE                 7.18                      
BOONE                                6.56                      
LAUREL SPRINGS 3 WSW                 5.34                      
LENOIR                               5.28                      
FRANKLIN 7.5 SW                      4.93                      

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
KEENE/DILLANT-HOPKINS ARPT           3.55                      
MOUNT WASHINGTON                     2.78                      

...NEW JERSEY...
ANDOVER                              3.40                      
KNOWLTON TWP 3.2 SSE                 3.31                      

...NEW YORK...
WARWICK 3.2 WNW                      3.27                      
PULASKI 0.5 NE                       3.24                      
OSWEGO 0.9 WNW                       3.02                      
MONTGOMERY/ORANGE CO ARPT            2.96                      
SARANAC LAKE/ADIRONDACK ARPT         2.26                      

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JOHNSTOWN/CAMBRIA CO ARPT            4.08                      
BETHLEHEM - LEHIGH RIVER             3.33                      
MYERSTOWN                            3.25                      
SPRINGTOWN                           3.13                      
MECHANICSBURG 4.5 NE                 3.05                      
MUIR AAF/INDIANTOWN                  2.97                      
MIDDLETOWN/OLMSTED                   2.95                      

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
SALEM 2.7 WNW                        2.03                      

...TENNESSEE...
CLEVELAND 3 ESE                     12.22                      
CHARLESTON                          11.50                      
APISON 2.7 SW                        9.59                      
CLEVELAND                            9.58                      
RICEVILLE 3.7 WSW                    9.50                      
GEORGETOWN                           9.48                      
OOLTEWAH 6.7 NNW                     8.58                      
OAK RIDGE                            8.34                      
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT                  7.03                      
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW                 5.53                      
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.41                      
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE                    5.09                      
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT             4.98                      
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95                      
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23                      
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22                      
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT                 3.53                      
CHATTANOOGA-LOVELL FIELD             3.04                      

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12                      
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04                      
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12                      

...VIRGINIA...
FANCY GAP                            6.77                      
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE                    6.34                      
SHIPMAN 1.8 NW                       6.30                      
BEDFORD 1.1 N                        6.08                      
ROCKFISH                             5.58                      
ROANOKE                              5.20                      

...VERMONT...
BURLINGTON INTL ARPT                 2.58                      
SPRINGFIELD/HARTNESS STATE ARPT      2.35                      

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO ARPT             3.76                      
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT                3.49                      
MORGANTOWN                           2.99                      
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.87                      
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE                     2.22                      
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E                 2.00                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/2100Z 34.9N 85.6W
12HR VT 07/0600Z 36.8N 83.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
24HR VT 07/1800Z 38.7N 82.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP   
36HR VT 08/0600Z 39.4N 83.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP