Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Air Quality
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
   Satellite Images
   National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Accomplishments
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Remnants of LEE Advisory Number 19
 
Issued 09:00Z Sep 06, 2011
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  34   33   32   31   30   29   28   27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   

 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2011

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 85.0W
ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...SSW OF KNOXVILLE MUNICIPAL TENNESSEE.
ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...NW OF ATLANTA  GEORGIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
ALONG THE APPALACHIANS NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST. LEE IS NOW AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTING WITH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND A WELL-DEFINED QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT ALONG
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE NORTHEAST. THE EXTRATROPICAL
LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TODAY. TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE COOL AIRMASS TO THE
NORTH...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN
ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD FROM
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN
THESE LOCATIONS. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT 

...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW             11.74                      
MOBILE 10.2 WSW                     11.62                      
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    11.32                      
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                10.50                      
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                       10.39                      
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                    10.31                      
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW                      9.65                      
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.19                      
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW                  8.42                      
CHEROKEE 5 S                         8.20                      
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.55                      
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N                       7.41                      
TUSCALOOSA                           7.04                      

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03                      
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35                      
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57                      
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35                      
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10                      
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06                      
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02                      
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93                      
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.37                      
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.30                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30                      
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW                      5.13                      

...GEORGIA...
ROME/RUSSELL FIELD                   5.70                      
CARTERSVILLE AIRPORT                 2.90                      

...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW                    3.67                      
WHITESBURG 2 SE                      3.38                      
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10                      
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW                   2.65                      
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34                      
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE                2.33                      
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14                      
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE                    2.08                      
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00                      

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43                      
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32                      
MAUREPAS                            13.63                      
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22                      
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04                      
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43                      
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15                      
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21                      
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 11.00                      
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91                      
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E                  10.59                      
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10                      
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW                9.93                      
LACOMBE 1.4 N                        9.79                      
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S                      9.10                      
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04                      
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    9.00                      
SLIDELL 2.2 NE                       8.20                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45                      
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     13.20                      
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75                      
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71                      
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59                      
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31                      
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25                      
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18                      
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14                      
JACKSON WFO                         11.13                      
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     10.78                      

...TENNESSEE...
OAK RIDGE                            8.08                      
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT                  6.68                      
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW                 5.53                      
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.41                      
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE                    5.09                      
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95                      
LORETTO 2.8 NNW                      4.50                      
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW                    4.48                      
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23                      
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22                      
LEBANON 4.0 SE                       4.21                      
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W                      4.07                      

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12                      
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04                      
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12                      

...VIRGINIA...
ROANOKE MUNI ARPT                    4.30                      

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD/MERCER CO. ARPT            3.14                      
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.87                      
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT                2.78                      
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE                     2.22                      
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E                 2.00                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/0900Z 34.3N 85.0W
12HR VT 06/1800Z 35.1N 84.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
24HR VT 07/0600Z 36.2N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
36HR VT 07/1800Z 37.0N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
48HR VT 08/0600Z 38.6N 84.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP