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Post-tropical Cyclone LEE Advisory Number 18
 
Issued 03:00Z Sep 06, 2011
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  34   33   32   31   30   29   28   27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   

 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 86.7W
ABOUT 75 MILES...121 KM...S OF BIRMINGHAM MUNI ALABAMA.
ABOUT 20 MILES...32 KM...NW OF MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY ALABAMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY
AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO THE CAROLINAS BY MID DAY
TUESDAY. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE
WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE. EXTREMELY HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE
CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.33 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION.
THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT 

...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW             11.74                      
MOBILE 10.2 WSW                     11.62                      
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    11.32                      
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                10.50                      
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                       10.39                      
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                    10.31                      
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW                      9.65                      
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.19                      
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW                  8.42                      
CHEROKEE 5 S                         8.20                      
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.55                      
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N                       7.41                      
TUSCALOOSA                           7.04                      

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03                      
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35                      
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57                      
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35                      
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10                      
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06                      
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02                      
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93                      
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.37                      
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.30                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30                      
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW                      5.13                      

...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW                    3.67                      
WHITESBURG 2 SE                      3.38                      
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10                      
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW                   2.65                      
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34                      
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE                2.33                      
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14                      
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE                    2.08                      
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00                      

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43                      
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32                      
MAUREPAS                            13.63                      
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22                      
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04                      
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43                      
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15                      
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21                      
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91                      
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 10.80                      
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E                  10.59                      
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10                      
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW                9.93                      
LACOMBE 1.4 N                        9.79                      
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S                      9.10                      
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04                      
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    9.00                      
SLIDELL 2.2 NE                       8.20                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45                      
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     13.20                      
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75                      
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71                      
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59                      
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31                      
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25                      
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18                      
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14                      
JACKSON WFO                         11.13                      
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     10.78                      

...TENNESSEE...
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW                 5.53                      
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.41                      
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE                    5.09                      
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95                      
LORETTO 2.8 NNW                      4.50                      
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW                    4.48                      
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23                      
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22                      
LEBANON 4.0 SE                       4.21                      
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W                      4.07                      

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12                      
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04                      
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12                      

...VIRGINIA...
WINCHESTER 9.4 NW                    1.00                      

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.87                      
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE                     2.22                      
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E                 2.00                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GARRETT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/0300Z 32.5N 86.7W
12HR VT 06/1200Z 34.0N 85.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 07/0000Z 34.9N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
36HR VT 07/1200Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 08/0000Z 38.9N 83.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP