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Remnants of LEE Advisory Number 17
 
Issued 21:00Z Sep 05, 2011
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  34   33   32   31   30   29   28   27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   

 
REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION.....32N 87.9W
ABOUT 95 MILES...153 KM...N OF MOBILE DOWNTOWN ALABAMA.
ABOUT 130 MILES...209 KM...E OF JACKSON/THOMPSON MISSISSIPPI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE ..32 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY
AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BY MONDAY
NIGHT AND REACHING THE CAROLINAS BY MID DAY TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS
REGION. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM CDT 

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW                     11.35                      
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW                    10.39                      
THEODORE 3.7 WNW                     9.78                      
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE                 9.75                      
FOLEY 2.0 SSW                        9.73                      
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW                      9.65                      
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW              9.47                      
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.19                      
CHEROKEE 5 S                         8.20                      
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW                  7.90                      
WILMER 7.9 SE                        7.51                      
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N                       7.41                      

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE                      10.03                      
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE                     7.35                      
PENSACOLA 3.8 N                      6.57                      
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW               6.35                      
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE                       6.10                      
PACE 2.4 N                           6.06                      
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW                      6.02                      
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.93                      
GONZALEZ 2.1 E                       5.68                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.37                      
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE                     5.33                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.30                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.30                      
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW                      5.13                      

...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW                    3.67                      
WHITESBURG 2 SE                      3.38                      
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW                 3.10                      
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW                   2.65                      
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S                   2.34                      
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE                2.33                      
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE                  2.14                      
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE                    2.08                      
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW                      2.00                      

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN                              15.43                      
N.O. CAROLLTON                      14.32                      
MAUREPAS                            13.63                      
PONCHATOULA 4 SE                    13.22                      
CONVENT 2 S                         13.04                      
RESERVE 0.5 SSE                     12.43                      
GRAY 0.5 ENE                        12.15                      
MARRERO 1.9 E                       11.21                      
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                  10.91                      
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 10.80                      
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E                  10.59                      
MERAUX 0.8 WNW                      10.10                      
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW                9.93                      
LACOMBE 1.4 N                        9.79                      
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S                      9.10                      
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW                      9.04                      
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                    9.00                      
SLIDELL 2.2 NE                       8.20                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E                      13.45                      
WAVELAND 1.1 NW                     13.20                      
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE                     11.75                      
GULFPORT 2.0 NE                     11.71                      
LONG BEACH 0.7 S                    11.59                      
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N                11.31                      
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW                    11.25                      
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E                  11.18                      
PEARL 3.4 ESE                       11.14                      
JACKSON WFO                         11.13                      
KILN 6.6 N                          10.90                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                     10.78                      

...TENNESSEE...
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE                    5.09                      
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE              5.09                      
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE                  4.95                      
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW                 4.87                      
LORETTO 2.8 NNW                      4.50                      
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW                    4.48                      
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW                   4.23                      
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E                     4.22                      
LEBANON 4.0 SE                       4.21                      
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W                      4.07                      

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW                   3.12                      
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.04                      
JASPER 6.7 W                         2.12                      

...VIRGINIA...
WINCHESTER 9.4 NW                    1.00                      

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.87                      
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE                     2.22                      
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E                 2.00                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GARRETT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/2100Z ..32N 87.9W
12HR VT 06/0600Z 33.4N 85.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1800Z 34.9N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
36HR VT 07/0600Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1800Z 38.9N 83.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
A