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Remnants of IKE Advisory Number 56
 
Issued 03:00Z Sep 15, 2008
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  56   55   54   

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 56 FOR REMNANTS OF IKE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092008
1000 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008        

...REMNANTS OF IKE RACING NORTHEAST...
...CORRECTION TO ADD MULTI-DAY OKLAHOMA TOTALS AND REMOVE PEACE
RIVER OBSERVATION IN TEXAS DUE TO A SUSPICIOUS REPORT...
 
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS INTO EASTERN LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST
INDIANA...AND MICHIGAN. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV FOR THE MOST CURRENT
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.8
NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST...OR 135 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ROCHESTER NY...OR 70 MILES NORTH OF TORONTO CANADA. THE LOW IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR 80 KM/HR.

THE LOW WILL RACE NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC...INTO LABRADOR LATE
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS OF 40
MPH...64 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 986 MB...OR 29.11
INCHES.

SELECTED HIGH WIND REPORTS SINCE 700 AM SUNDAY

LOUISVILLE KY            75 MPH
COVINGTON KY             74 MPH
HUNTINGBURG IN           67 MPH
FORT KNOX KY             64 MPH
OWENSBORO KY             63 MPH
WALNUT RIDGE AR          62 MPH
POPULAR BLUFF MO         61 MPH
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN        61 MPH


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1000 PM
CDT

...LOUISIANA...

CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA       7.62
DENHAM SPRINGS 6.8N                 5.78 
AMITE RIVER AT GRANGEVILLE          4.98
OUISKA CHITTO CREEK NEAR OBERLIN    4.54
BAYOU COCODRIE NEAR CLEARWATER      4.27
NATCHITOCHES                        3.69
GRAND ENCORE                        3.77
JONESBORO                           3.45
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW                  4.42
ANACOCO 13.7 SW                     2.75
ALEXANDRIA 5SSE                     2.93
CLEARWATER                          2.91
ELMER 2SW                           2.87
MONROE                              2.45

...TEXAS...

HOUSTON                            15.75
SPRING BRANCH (HARRIS COUNTY)      15.20
CYPRESS CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY)      14.21
HALLS BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY)        13.94
CONROE 4S                          13.55
PANTHER BRIDE NEAR SPRING          13.14
WESTFIELD 6W                       12.72
NECHES RIVER AT EVADALE            12.53
EVADALE                            12.32
COLE CREEK AT DEIHL ROAD           11.03   
HOUSTON - C.R. RD BHG              10.95
HARRIS GULLEY (HARRIS COUNTY)      10.71
GOOSE CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY)        10.39
HUMBLE 2N                          10.39
BUFFALO BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY)      10.12
CLEVELAND (SITE 2)                 10.01
MOUNT CALM 4E                       9.84
HOUSTON                             9.49
BUNKER HILL 1SW                     9.46
ADDICKS - SO. MAYDE CK              9.22
HOUSTON - COLE CK DEIHL RD          9.21
SPRING 3NW                          9.20
HOUSTON - BRAYS BAYOU S MAIN ST     9.14
HOUSTON                             9.02
HOUSTON-LANGHAM CK@LITTLE YORK R    8.89
JERSEY VILLAGE                      8.74
PASADENA 1NE                        8.35

...ARKANSAS...

BIG FORK 2ENE                       5.09
EUREKA SPRINGS                      4.51 
ATHENS                              4.51
BERRYVILLE 5NW                      4.07
WINSLOW 10WSW                       3.97
WINFREY                             3.82
BEAVER DAM-WHITE RIVER              3.76
DEER                                3.73

...MISSOURI...

CLINTON 0.9 NNW                     8.93
KIRKSVILLE                          8.14
CLINTON                             7.56
COLOMA                              7.56
HOUSTON 4.5 WSW                     7.41
COLUMBIA 3.6SW                      7.19
NEVADA 2.3 WNW                      7.11
DOWNING                             6.93
SAVERTON - LOCK & DAM 22 TW         6.92
ASHLAND 0.7 WNW                     6.86
WINDSOR                             6.73
TROY                                6.63
BRUSH CREEK AT WARD PARKWAY KC      6.46
GREEN RIDGE 0.3 NNW                 6.61
RUSSELLVILLE 5.9 SE                 6.02
OFALLON                             5.84 

...KANSAS...

MAIZE 5.7S                         11.44
UDALL 4.2 ENE                      11.02
PLYMOUTH 1SW                       10.26
LEON 7.5 SW                        10.01 
WICHITA MID CONTINENT AIRPT         9.56
PARK CITY 3.0 WSW                   9.18
EMPORIA 5.5 NNE                     9.08
EL DORADO 7.9 NNW                   8.90  
SMILEYBERG                          8.88
ROSE HILL 2.7 ESE                   8.39
AUGUSTA 1WNW                        8.36
EL DORADO 4NE - DAM (INACT)         8.03
ROCK                                7.95
EL DORADO (CITY WATER PLANT)        7.79
NEOSHO RAPIDS                       7.59
AUGUSTA                             7.42
THRALL 4S                           7.38
ROSALIA                             7.25
MADISON                             6.80

...OKLAHOMA...(HIGHER TOTALS OVER 5 IN INCLUDE PRE-IKE RAINFALL)

FAIRVIEW                           11.83
ORIENTA 1 SSW                      10.45
HELENA 1 SSE                        9.95
MUTUAL                              8.76
GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE              8.58
PUTNAM 3 N                          7.86
SEILING 3 N                         7.59
MEDFORD                             7.54
CAMARGO 4 WNW                       6.62
WAYNOKA 5 S                         6.25
CHEROKEE                            5.83
MOORELAND 0.4 ESE                   5.82
ALVA 1 NE                           5.43
SAYRE 5.8 NW                        4.66
KANSAS 1ESE                         4.56
DRAKE FIELD                         4.35
ERICK 0.2 NE                        4.35
TALIHINA 3ENE                       4.30
MAYO-L&D 14                         4.22
NEW EUCHA 5W                        4.11
GRANITE 0.6 WSW                     4.08
ELDON                               4.05
WINSLOW 7NE                         4.01
MIAMI                               4.00
COLCORD 4N                          3.97
HINDSVILLE                          3.85
DEVILS DEN STATE PARK               3.85


ADDITIONALLY...A FRONT IN THE MIDWEST COMBINED WITH MOISTURE FROM
FORMER EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE RAINFALL  WAS LATER ADDED TO BY
THE REMAINS OF IKE ON SUNDAY.  HERE ARE THE MULTI-DAY AND
MULTI-EVENT TOTALS THROUGH SUNDAY 7 PM CDT (SEPTEMBER 12-14). 

IOWA...

OAKLAND MILLS 3W                    7.60
DONNELSON                           7.07 
MOUNT PLEASANT                      7.04
BURLINGTON 6.5N                     6.97
LONDON 1.5 SW                       6.96
WAPELLO                             6.71
KEOSAUQUA                           6.06
FORT MADISON                        5.54
LE CLAIRE 0.2 ESE                   5.35
DAVENPORT 0.9 SSW                   5.12
BEDFORD 1 NNW                       5.11 

...ILLINOIS...

PEOTONE                            10.40 
WHEATON 1.7N                        9.36
ELBURN 0.4 NW                       9.29                          
      
PARK RIDGE                          9.15
ST CHARLES                          9.03
SALT CREEK AT ROLLING MEADOWS       9.20
PARK FOREST 0.8 NNE                 8.80
EVANSTON 1.4N                       8.76
FERSON CREEK NEAR ST. CHARLES       8.74
ELK GROVE                           8.74
BARTLETT                            8.58
ST CHARLES 7NW                      8.48
PAW PAW                             8.38  
DES PLAINES 0.5 NW                  8.18
KEITHSBURG                          7.98
BRADLEY                             7.90  
WEST CHICAGO 2.7N                   7.89
MILL CREEK NEAR BATAVIA             7.72
KEWANEE 1E                          7.59  
CARBON HILL 3N                      7.45
ROGERS PARK                         7.37
CHICAGO O'HARE AIRPORT              7.25 

...INDIANA...

PORTAGE 0.8 SW                     11.46
SOUTH BEND 3.7 SE                  10.94 
CROWN POINT 3.1 WSW                10.83
VALPARAISO 1.3 SSW                  9.78
HART DITCH AT DYER                  8.33
LA PORTE 1.2                        7.97
PORTER 0.8 E                        7.84   
SOUTH BEND                          7.72
CHESTERTON 1.7 WSW                  7.68
WESTVILLE 4.7 ESE                   7.52 
KINGSBURY 1N                        6.59
VALPARAISO 5NNE                     6.51
HART DITCH                          5.87
WANATAH                             5.18
SHOALS                              4.99
LOWELL                              4.48
GARY                                3.64

...MICHIGAN...

SOUTH HAVEN                         6.68
MARSHALL                            6.32
BATTLE CREEK/W K KELLOGG AIRPORT    6.16
BLOOMINGDALE                        5.92
BENTON HARBOR/SW MI RGNL APT        5.77
FARMINGTON HILLS                    5.36
OKEMOS                              5.22
KALAMAZOO INTL ARPT                 4.57
JACKSON/REYNOLDS FIELD              4.47
BLOOMINGDALE                        4.46
CLARKSTON                           4.41 
MARSHALL                            4.25
BATTLE CREEK                        4.17
TIPTON 2WNW                         4.02
LUM                                 3.95

...OHIO..
MILL CREEK AT TYLERSVL RD FAIRFLD   7.08
NORWALK 2NW                         4.51
LAGRANGE 1NE                        4.39
WADSWORTH 1SW                       3.79
ALLIANCE                            3.64
MEDINA 2N                           3.50
FOSTORIA (IFLOWS)                   3.35
WEST BRANCH                         3.17
FINDLAY AIRPORT                     3.17
MEDINA                              3.12
ELYRIA 4S                           3.11
AKRON/FULTON INTL ARPT              2.97

...PENNSYLVANIA...
MURRYSVILLE                         5.41
NEW KENSINGTON (IFLOWS)             4.17
ALLISON PARK 3ESE (IFLOWS)          3.79
WEST DEER PARK (IFLOWS)             3.56
ALLISON PARK 2NE (IFLOWS)           3.51
FERNWAY 2W                          3.24
RACHELWOOD (IFLOWS)                 3.11
NATRONA                             3.11
ACMETONIA (LOCK 3)                  2.92
SLIPPERY ROCK 1SSW                  2.90
CONEMAUGH DAM                       2.85
JEANNETTE 1NE (IFLOWS)              2.47

...WISCONSIN...

GENOA CITY                          3.25
FRANKLINSVILLE                      2.50
NWS SULLIVAN                        2.37
HALES CORNERS                       2.32 
TWIN LAKES                          2.18
   
...NEBRASKA...

FALLS CITY 2S                       3.39
FALLS CITY                          3.31
RULO 2W                             3.00
SYRACUSE                            2.92
SALEM 5SW                           2.39
GRETNA 3NE                          2.34
IRVINGTON                           2.30
LINCOLN 3S                          2.28
PAWNEE CITY                         2.24
OMAHA - 125TH & FORT STS            2.14
PAPILLION 6NW                       2.14
AUBURN                              2.00


THE PRIMARY HEAVY RAINFALL IS MOVING ALONG WITH THE REMNANTS OF
IKE INTO CANADA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM HALF
TO ONE INCH ALONG THE US/CANADA BORDER FROM NEW YORK TO MAINE.  

A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
SYSTEM ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF NEW YORK STATE...VERMONT....NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...44.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE
79.1 WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH WITH GUST TO 40
MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE...ENVIRONMENT CANADA...OR THE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

PETERSEN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 15/0300Z 44.4N 79.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 15/1200Z 48.0N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 16/0000Z 51.3N 58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL