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Tropical Depression GUSTAV Advisory Number 41
 
Issued 21:00Z Sep 03, 2008
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  45   44   43   42   41   40   39   38   37   36   

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 41 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
400 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

...GUSTAV NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AS HEAVY
RAIN SPREADS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...WESTERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
AND NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
ARKANSAS. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
 
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.2
WEST...OR 25 MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS
AND 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS. 

GUSTAV HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE LAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW
DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON
THURSDAY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.

...LOUISIANA...

LARTO LAKE                          19.00 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
JONESVILLE 7 SW                     17.70 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WINNSBORO 5 SSE                     16.51 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW                      16.37 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CLAYTON 4 NNW                       14.54 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RED RIVER LOCK AND DAM              13.50 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RAYVILLE                            12.13 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BASTROP 3.2 NNE                     10.87 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW                  10.44 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
MONROE                               9.43
ALEXANDRIA                           9.07
BATON ROUGE                          4.77
FORT POLK                            4.33
LAKE CHARLES                         2.43
LAFAYETTE                            2.29
NEW ORLEANS NAS                      3.10
SHREVEPORT (SHV)                     2.23
BARKSDALE AFB                        2.12
SHREVEPORT (DTN)                     2.10

...MISSISSIPPI...

BUDE (HOMOCHITTO NATIONAL FOREST)   11.53 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                     8.94 (THROUGH 12 PM CDT)
MCCOMB                               7.44
HATTIESBURG                          6.42
VICKSBURG (TVR)                      6.56
SHARKEY                              5.80 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
PASCAGOULA                           4.61
GREENVILLE                           4.54
LAUREL                               4.08
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB                   4.05
ISSAQUENA                            2.69 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HAWKINS FIELD                        2.34
GULFPORT                             1.83
JACKSON                              1.84
GREENWOOD                            1.80

...ARKANSAS...

HAMBURG                             11.25 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CROSSETT 2 SSE                      10.10 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HAMPTON                              9.80 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS (WHITTINGTON CREEK)      8.96 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LEOLA                                8.11 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
WALTREAK                             8.05 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LITTLE ROCK AFB (LRF)                8.02
ARKADELPHIA                          7.02 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS                          6.35
NIMROD DAM                           6.32 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
MONTICELLO                           5.76
MOUNT IDA                            5.38
TEXARKANA                            4.92
LITTLE ROCK (LIT)                    4.14
STUTTGART                            3.87
FORT SMITH                           3.65
FAYETTEVILLE (FYV)                   3.64
EL DORADO                            3.54
FLIPPIN                              3.33
PINE BLUFF                           3.18
BATESVILLE                           2.99
HARRISON                             2.60
SILOAM SPRINGS                       2.56
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE (XNA)        2.16

...MISSOURI...

FORSYTH 1.9 SW                       3.78 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HOLLISTER 3.8 SW                     2.05 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST PLAINS                          1.39
SPRINGFIELD                          0.74
JOPLIN                               0.69
FORT LEONDARD WOOD                   0.58

...OKLAHOMA...

MCALESTER                            1.50
MUSKOGEE                             1.15

...TEXAS...

PARIS                                1.01
LONGVIEW                             0.83
LUFKIN                               0.62

...KANSAS...

CHANUTE                              1.32

...FLORIDA...

PENSACOLA NAS (NPA)                  4.03
PENSACOLA (PNS)                      2.09
DESTIN                               2.08
MARATHON                             2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB)                1.92
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 1.69
HOMESTEAD                            1.62
VERO BEACH                           1.58
KEY WEST                             1.46

...ALABAMA...

MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM)          3.10
MOBILE (MOB)                         2.25

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...33.8 NORTH...94.2 WEST...
MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.

BRENNAN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 03/2100Z 33.8N 94.2W
12HR VT 04/0600Z 35.3N 92.9W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 04/1800Z 38.9N 90.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 05/0600Z 42.8N 85.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 05/1800Z 46.9N 79.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER CANADA
72HR VT 06/1800Z...OVER CANADA