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Remnants of FAY Advisory Number 15
 
Issued 09:00Z Sep 09, 2002
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   

REMNANTS OF FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
0400 AM CDT MON SEP 9 2002

...THE REMNANTS OF  "FAY" DRIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
AND THE HILL COUNTRY...
..A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE JIM WELLS COUNTY IN
SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL 415 AM CDT...
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF
MEDINA...ATACOSA...AND FRIO IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL 615 AM CDT...
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF LA
SALLE...AND MCMULLEN IN SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL 630 AM CDT...
...FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SAN ANTONIO RIVER...THE FRIO
RIVER...AND SANDY CREEK IN TEXAS...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF "FAY"
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7N...LONGITUDE 99.1W...OR ABOUT 60
MILES NORTH OF LAREDO TEXAS.

THE STORM HAS DRIFTED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
REMNANT LOW.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.79 INCHES.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS CONCENTRATED
IN SOUTH TEXAS WHILE WIDESPREAD SCATTERED CONVECTION IS PRESENT
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE.  ISOLATED 5 INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED NEAR THE STORM CENTER...WITH AS
HIGH AS 2 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS EXTENDING AWAY FROM THE CENTER INTO
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.

24 HOUR RADAR ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT LOCALIZED AREAS HAVE
RECEIVED OVER 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

SELECTED 30 HOUR PRECIPITATION TOTALS (THROUGH 1 AM CDT):

LOCATION                      AMOUNT
=========                     ========
KELLY AFB...TX                5.43"
HONDO...TX                    3.60"
BURNETT...TX                  3.20"
GEORGETOWN...TX               2.07"
BEAUMONT...TX                 2.05"
ROCKPORT...TX                 2.05"
SAN ANTONIO...TX              1.74"

SELECTED 90 HOUR STORM TOTALS (THROUGH 1 AM CDT):

LOCATION                      AMOUNT
=========                     ========
KELLY AFB...TX                8.18"
HONDO...TX                    6.12"
GALVESTON...TX                5.81"
SAN ANTONIO...TX              4.11"
BURNETT...TX                  4.07"
HOUSTON (CLOVER)...TX         4.04"


REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.7N...99.1W...DRIFTING SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1009 MB...29.79 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

KELLS/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH