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Remnants of ALLISON Advisory Number 48
 
Issued 09:00Z Jun 17, 2001
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  52   51   50   49   48   47   46   45   44   43   42   41   40   39   38   37   36   35   34   33   32   31   30   29   28   
27   26   25   24   23   22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   6   5   

STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 48 FOR THE REMAINS OF "ALLISON" 
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
500 AM EDT SUN JUN 17 2001

THE STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMAINS OF
"ALLISON" WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 75.0W...JUST SOUTHEAST OF FENWICK ISLAND
DELAWARE.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 15 TO 20 MPH NEAR THE
CENTER...AND 25 TO 30 MPH JUST OFFSHORE.  THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM HAS FALLEN TO 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES OF MERCURY. AS THE
CENTER PASSED OCEAN CITY AT 4 AM EDT...THE PRESSURE DROPPED TO 1004.9
MB...29.68 INCHES. MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME NORTHEAST AT 5
MPH OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH SOME SLIGHT ACCELERATION WITH TIME. THIS WILL MOVE THE CENTER
ON A CLOSE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF NEW JERSEY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
APPROACHING THE EASTERN END OF LONG ISLAND MONDAY MORNING.

THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN AROUND THE SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED GREATLY
AS OF LATE. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...WHERE
AN INFLOW BAND ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATIONINTERSECTS A
SURFACE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT ITSELF IS APPROACHING THE LOW...A
MERE 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER AT THIS TIME. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE AS A WAVE ALONG THIS COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. 

DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT SINCE SATURDAY AT 8 AM EDT RAINS
GREATER THAN 8 INCHES HAVE FALLEN IN ISOLATED SPOTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.  OVER 5 INCHES IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.
OVER 4 INCHES FELL THROUGHOUT MUCH OF ST. MARYS COUNTY MARYLAND AND
ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE. ISOLATED LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER 5 OR MORE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND FROM SOUTHEAST NEW YORK SOUTHWARD
THROUGH WESTERN CONNECTICUT AND NEW JERSEY. A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY UNTIL 5:15 AM EDT
DUE TO THE ACCUMULATION OF 3.30 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR. FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR EASTERN MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS COUNTIES IN
PENNSYLVANIA DUE TO CONTINUED FLOODING FROM EARLIER RAINS.  FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR RIVERS... STREAMS... AND BAYOUS CONTINUE FROM SOUTHEAST
TEXAS EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. OTHER RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA AND WESTERN NEW JERSEY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM PROVINCETOWN
MASSACHUSETTS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COAST TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING MUCH
OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BUT EXCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.

SELECTED 20 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE:

NORTH CAROLINA (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

CHERRY POINT..........................2.02
LAURINBURG............................0.97

VIRGINIA (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

ACCOMACK..............................4.57 
NORFOLK...............................4.19 
NORFOLK NAS...........................2.24
NEWPORT NEWS..........................2.10
NATIONAL AIRPORT/CRYSTAL CITY.........1.64
RICHMOND..............................1.27

MARYLAND (THROUGH 2 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

PATUXENT RIVER........................2.84
SALISBURY.............................0.91

PENNSYLVANIA (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

WILLOW GROVE NAVAL AIR STATION........8.47 THROUGH 10 PM 
DOYLESTOWN............................4.28
PHILADELPHIA..........................2.41
PHILADELPHIA NE.......................2.22

DELAWARE (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

WILMINGTON............................2.37
DOVER.................................2.03 THROUGH 2 AM

NEW JERSEY (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

CALDWELL/ESSEX COUNTY AP..............4.18
   3.58 INCHES BETWEEN 3 AND 4 AM
TRENTON...............................1.23

NEW YORK (THROUGH 4 AM EDT, IN INCHES)

BINGHAMTON............................3.57
MONTICELLO............................2.01
PLATTSBURGH...........................1.56
WHITE PLAINS..........................1.11

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 AM EDT.    

ROTH/ FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH