Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
The Weather Prediction Center

 
 

 

Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Facebook Follow the Weather Prediction Center on Twitter
NCEP Quarterly Newsletter
WPC Home
Analyses and Forecasts
   National High & Low
   WPC Discussions
   Surface Analysis
   Days ½-2½ CONUS
   Days 3-7 CONUS
   Days 4-8 Alaska
   QPF
   PQPF
   Flood Outlook
   Winter Weather
   Storm Summaries
   Heat Index
   Tropical Products
   Daily Weather Map
   GIS Products
Current Watches/
Warnings

Satellite and Radar Imagery
   Satellite Images
   National Radar
Product Archive
WPC Verification
   QPF
   Medium Range
   Model Diagnostics
   Event Reviews
International Desks
Development and Training
   Development
WPC Overview
   About the WPC
   Staff
   WPC History
   Accomplishments
   Other Sites
   FAQs
Meteorological Calculators
Contact Us
   About Our Site
 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official web portal to all federal, state, and local government web resources and services.
 
Excessive Rainfall Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 0617Z Mar 02, 2015)
 
Version Selection
Versions back from latest:  0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   
 
Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White


EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
117 AM EST MON MAR 02 2015

...VALID 06Z MON MAR 02 2015 - 12Z TUE MAR 03 2015...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 ESE IGM 20 W PRC 35 SE PRC 25 NNE SDL 30 NW LUF 55 NW GBN
40 ESE BLH 30 ENE BLH 40 SE EED IFP 15 NW IGM 25 NNE IGM
25 ENE IGM 45 ESE IGM.


WRN ARIZONA

POTNL STILL EXISTS THROUGH EARLY MON FOR PSBL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AHEAD OF UPR LOW ACRS SRN CA THAT IS EXPECTED EJECT RAPIDLY NEWD
MON AFTN/EVEN ACRS THE 4 CORNERS REGION AS A WEAKENING OPEN S/WV
TROF.  AN AXIS OF MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ALONG WITH
ANOMALOUS 850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX (4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN) WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ACRS MUCH OF WRN AZ THROUGH THE MRNG HOURS.   LOCALIZED RUNOFF
ISSUES ARE POSSIBLE FROM ISOLATED SHORT TERM PRECIPITATION TOTALS
OF .50-1"+ WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 1-3"+ INCHES

SULLIVAN