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Model Diagnostics Discussion
 
(Caution: Version displayed is not the latest version. - Issued 1610Z Sep 02, 2014)
 
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Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product
 
Geographic Boundaries -  Map 1: Color  Black/White       Map 2: Color  Black/White


MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1210 PM EDT TUE SEP 02 2014

VALID SEP 02/1200 UTC THRU SEP 06/0000 UTC

...SEE NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR
INGEST...


12Z NAM/GFS EVALUATION WITH PRELIMINARY MODEL PREFERENCES
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NAM/GFS INITIALIZATION ERRORS DO NOT SEEM TO DEGRADE THEIR SHORT
RANGE FORECASTS


THE LOWER 48
~~~~~~~~~~~~
PREFERENCE: GFS/NAM/ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN COMPROMISE
CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE

THE GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FROM COAST TO COAST IN AND
NEAR THE LOWER 48.  A GENERAL MODEL COMPROMISE IS PREFERRED WITH
ABOVE AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.  FOR FORECAST INFORMATION FOR TROPICAL
STORMS DOLLY AND NORBERT, CONSULT THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ADVISORIES AND GRAPHICS.


www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml...
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml...

ROTH