THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION



 
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
641 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
 
VALID 00Z MON NOV 23 2009 - 00Z MON NOV 30 2009
 
A PREFERRED CONSENSUS OF WELL CLUSTERED MODEL AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT ISLAND TRADES SHOULD WEAKEN TO MORE
MODERATE LEVELS MON/TUE ON THE FAR SRN FRINGE OF A SLIGHTLY
AMPLIFYING MEAN MID-LATITUDE 500MB TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE
ISLANDS. ISLAND TRADES STRENGTHEN AGAIN WED-FRI AS A TRANSIENT
SURFACE HIGH PASSES NORTH OF THE STATE IN THE WAKE OF LEAD TROUGH
PASSAGE ALOFT. TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY BRUSH THE BIG ISLAND MIDWEEK
WITH A FEW HEAVIER SHOWERS LOCALLY. OTHERWISE...EXPECT A PATTERN
FAVORING LIGHT OT MODERATE WINDWARD SHOWERS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.


SCHICHTEL




Last Updated: 641 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009